Tuesday, October 16, 2012

How is this race even close?

Apparently, Romney is big in rural areas..........

The random cellphone and land line poll of 600 likely rural voters in nine battleground states Oct. 9-11 has Romney at 59 percent among the survey’s respondents. Obama’s support is now down to 37 percent among rural battleground voters, a plunge of 10 points from the actual rural vote in those states four years ago.
The nine battleground states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin have a collective rural population of 13.6 million, according to the Census Bureau.

“It’s a boon to Romney,” says pollster Anna Greenberg of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, the Democratic partner in the survey. “It will help him … because, of course, he will lose urban areas by a similar margin. And the suburban areas are still pretty competitive.”

This is what I don't get. Romney is doing better than McCain in 2008 with the following groups

1) Jews
2) Men
3) White working class
4) Hispanics
5) Catholics
6) Asians
7) Young people
8) Old people

And to some level he's doing better among blacks.

In fact, I haven't seen a subset that Romney's doing worse with outside of women and even that gaps closing.

So if he's doing better than McCain among all these groups, how is this even close?


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