Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Foreclosure facts

You know the current myth is that as soon as a borrower gets 30 days behind on their mortgage, the foreclosure police are there to kick the young, hard working family to the curb.

In reality, many of these foreclosures are "strategic".........

Strategic walkaways gets the NYT treatment today. The data is fairly impressive:

-Foreclosure procedures have been initiated against 1.7 million households.
-Average borrower in foreclosure has been delinquent for 438 days before eviction;
-This is up from 251 days in January 2008.
-More than 650,000 households had not paid in 18 months.
-19 percent of those homes, the lender had not even begun to take action to repossess the property — double the rate a year earlier.

I find the rationalizations by the people who engage in the process rather interesting. The excuses — and they are simply excuses — consist of a long list of reasons that only hint at the simple truth of non-payment:

-The bank wouldn’t help
-“They’re all crooks.”
- “free rent”
- we have little to lose
- its self-preservation

A few people hint at it, but no one actually makes the rational claim as to the math of strategic (rather than emotional) default.

I would like to read one person make the honest statement:

“I’ve done the math, and it doesn’t make sense to pay the mortgage. I can rent the same house a block over for half of what I am paying. I am so far underwater that if I stay here, struggle, and make all the payments, in 10 years, I will merely be back to break even. Why bother?

Like all the big banks have all done, I’ve made the calculation that it is financially beneficial to default on the loan — so that is what I am doing. As Sonny was told in the Godfather, “This is business, not personal…”

>

Thanks reader Tim for the link

1 comment:

Sara said...

I personally feel that walking away from the property doesn't make much sense. Though a person goes for a strategic walk away, the lender will ultimately foreclose the property. It will have severe negative affects on the home owner's credit. The home owner's credit score would get reduced by 250 points and the negative item will stay in his or her credit report for 7 years. Moreover, the homeowner remains liable for the balance amount resulting from the sale of the property.

Thus, rather than walking away from the property, it's better to apply for a deed in lieu of foreclosure. Though the homeowner will face severe credit affects, he or she won't be liable for the deficient balance. Apart from this, Fannie Mae has come up with new rule wherein homeowners going through a deed in lieu of foreclosure will be able to qualify for a mortgage within 2 years.