An interesting take on Obama's Iowa and and NH showings by Polipundit.
The Bradley effect in reverse?
I don't think this works in this instance. The presumption is blacks poll higher because people don't want to be perceived as racist. But once they get into the booth, they'll vote white.
Polipundit expounds that because the Iowa Caucus is not a secret vote, Obama may have benefited from a reverse "Bradley".
But in this case, if I was truly a closet racist and would not vote for a candidate because of their race, I would caucus at all. In addition, there were many other alternatives to choose from.
Come to think of it, if you are a closet racist & sexist, your only choice would be Edwards. Maybe that's why he did so well in Iowa. Clearly no one wanted to be labeled a metrophobe.
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